Ilia Simakin vs Ivan Marrero Curbelo Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the last six months, Ivan Marrero Curbelo has won 40.34% of points on his second serve, whereas Ilia Simakin has a slightly stronger record with 45.41%. Could this give Simakin an edge in maintaining his service games?
• When examining return game stats, Ivan appears marginally better, winning 49.32% of his opponent's second serve points, compared to Ilia's 43.09%.
• Facing first serves, Ivan continues to outperform Ilia, claiming 34.97% of points compared to Ilia's 23.79%. Is Ivan's return game strong enough to capitalize on this advantage?
• In pressure situations, Ilia has shown more resilience, saving 60.59% of breakpoints, opposed to Ivan's 51.17% save rate. Will this help Ilia fend off break opportunities?
• Overall, Ilia has a superior match win percentage over the past year at 68.06% against Ivan’s 62.71%.
• Both players excel on Hard courts with a 60% win rate, but Ivan has more experience, with 233 matches to Ilia's 219.
• Ilia tends to play at a higher competition level (Challengers/ITF > $10K) compared to Ivan's frequent competition in Futures/Satellites/ITF $10K events.
• The average rank of Ilia’s opponents in the past year is slightly better at 369.93, compared to Ivan's 376.69. Does this mean Ilia is accustomed to tougher competition?
• In deciding sets, Ilia has a narrow lead, winning 47% versus Ivan’s 45%. Could these deciding set performances be crucial?
• Ivan is markedly better at converting breakpoints, with a conversion rate of 42.54%, against Ilia’s 21.65%.

Editorial Prediction (November 27, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Ivan Marrero Curbelo and Ilia Simakin presents an intriguing clash of skills. Ivan shows a slight advantage in his return games, particularly when facing first serves. He also demonstrates superior breakpoint conversion, which can be critical in pivotal moments.

However, Ilia's proficiency in saving breakpoints and his higher match win rate over the past year cannot be overlooked. His experience at higher competition levels may prepare him better for the pressure of this encounter.

Despite Ivan's strengths on return and breakpoint conversion, Ilia's ability to endure under pressure and his overall winning consistency suggest that he might have a slight edge in this match. Therefore, Ilia Simakin is the predicted likely winner in this head-to-head battle.